| 2002-2003
Meeting Minutes
The Central Illinois Chapter and the Indiana Chapter of the American
Meteorological Society held a joint meeting at the Beef House restaurant
in Covington, Indiana on Thursday, June 27, 2003. Approximately 40
were in attendance from both states, traveling from as far away as Lincoln
in Illinois and Mishawaka and Muncie in Indiana.
This meeting is an annual tradition as many members enjoy the pilgrimage
to the Beef House, often listed as the “Best Steakhouse in Indiana.”
This year the food and service lived up to their reputation.
Central Illinois President Ed Kieser opened the meeting at 6:30 PM with
some pre-dinner welcoming remarks. After dinner Ed Kieser and Dr.
David Arnold, President of the Indiana Chapter, each spoke about upcoming
events. Both mentioned that the next meetings for each chapter will
be held in September, with the Indiana Chapter meeting at WISH-TV in Indianapolis,
IN and the Central Illinois Chapter meeting at Weldon Springs State Park
in Clinton, IL. Details on dates and times will be announced later
in the summer. Elections for officers will be held for each chapter
at the September meetings. Announcements were also made on preparations
for the Midwest Extreme and Hazardous Weather Region Conference to be held
in Champaign on October 17-18, 2003.
The speaker for the evening was Dr. Jeff Trapp, recently appointed as
Associate Professor of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Purdue University.
The title of his presentation was New Insight into Tornadoes and Damaging
Winds with Squall Lines and Bow Echoes.
Dr. Trapp started his presentation by showing a radar reflectivity image
of a “quasi-linear convective system” (QLCS) from near Jackson, Mississippi
on November 11, 1995. This squall line produced an F3 tornado.
Most of the time we think of tornadoes as coming from parent storms that
are individual cells, particularly super cells. Yet, many tornadoes
do occur with squall lines. The speaker indicated that we should
care about studying tornadoes associated with squall lines and bow echoes
because (1) tornadoes can occur anywhere along an extensive line, (2) radar
precursors are not as clearly understood for tornadoes associated with
lines, so there tends to be less lead time for warnings, and (3) the climatological
characteristics of squall line tornadoes are unknown, such as whether these
tornadoes are weak and short lived, whether they occur with the same frequency
as “cell” tornadoes, and whether they occur at the same general time of
day.
To determine the climatological characteristics of QLCS tornadoes, the
following steps were followed: (1) gather tornado reports from Storm Data
online, (2) use composite radar reflectivity images to classify each parent
storm type as cell or line, (3) repeat steps 1 and 2 for all tornadoes
during 1998-2000, and (4) analyze the results. For 1998-2000 there
were 3827 reported tornadoes in the continental U.S. Of those, 80%
were classified as having a parent storm as a “cell,” 18% as from a “line,”
and 2% from “other” types like hurricane rainbands.
In terms of tornado intensity, there were fewer F0 tornadoes reported
than expected for lines. The speaker speculated that F0 “line” tornadoes
might be underreported, perhaps due to low visibility or that many might
occur at night. The distribution of tornadoes by local time showed the
typical peak in the late afternoon and evening for “cell” tornadoes.
For “line” tornadoes the frequency was also greater in the afternoon and
evening, but the overall distribution was more even, with indeed many more
“line” tornadoes occurring at night than “cell” tornadoes.
In Illinois and Indiana, a higher percentage of tornadoes were reported
from lines than the national average. From 1998 through 2000 there
were 274 tornadoes reported in Illinois and Indiana, with 59% from cells
and 41% from lines, compared to 80% to 18% ratio nationally.
More needs to be learned about QLCS tornadoes as it was found that (1)
a high percentage of QLCS tornadoes occur in certain geographical areas,
such as in Illinois and Indiana, (2) such tornadoes can be strong or violent,
although they are rare events, for both line and cell classifications,
and (3) QLCS tornadoes frequently occur during nighttime hours. At
night there is less warning information due to the spotter value being
diminished and there is poorer warning dissemination as many affected citizens
are sleeping.
Next, Dr. Trapp spoke on damaging non-tornadic winds with squall lines
and bow echoes. He presented Fujita’s (1985) conceptualization of
high-wind generation in (type “B”) bow echoes and asked if it tells the
whole story. He used the Klemp-Wilhelmson Model to simulate a damaging
QLCS. The model was initialized using a high value for CAPE and moderate
low-level shear.
The simulated squall line evolved into a bow echo with “straight-line”
surface winds found at the bow-echo apex and additionally in association
with numerous low-level mesovortices. For certain environmental shears,
the mesovortex-induced winds are more damaging in terms of intensity, duration,
and areal extent that are the descending rear-inflow winds at the apex.
Finally, research is continuing in part with the Bow Echo and MCV Experiment
(BAMEX) this summer. Dr. Trapp’s objectives from BAMEX include conducting
detailed aerial and ground surveys of wind damage following bow echo events
and relating the severity and scale of damage to (radar observed) location/structural
characteristics. They recently collected good data from a case on
31 May 2003, and look forward to analyzing data from BAMEX.
After questions the meeting adjourned at about 9:15 PM.
-Ed Kieser
On the evening of 9 April 1953, an historic tornado-producing thunderstorm
developed over east central Illinois. It wasn’t the severity of the tornado
that made it historic, however, even though it was quite intense. Operators
of a weather radar at the Illinois State Water Survey (ISWS), University
of Illinois, detected a “hook echo” on that historic night, which was the
first documented to be due to a tornado.
The Central Illinois Chapter of the American Meteorological Society
commemorated this event with a special meeting hosted by the Illinois State
Water Survey. Over 60 attendees listened to an overview of radar meteorology
both at ISWS and throughout the U.S., culminating in the development of
the WSR-88D network. This overview was given by Steve Hilberg (ISWS). Three
ISWS employees at the time of this historic observation were honored at
this event, including Don Staggs, Glenn Stout, and Stan Changnon.
Don Staggs described what occurred on that day and the next morning when
he reported it to others in the program. He showed videos of 1) several
of the radars operated by the Survey during that time period, 2) damage
caused by the storm, and 3) a time-lapse video of the hook echo itself.
Glenn Stout described the evolution of the atmospheric sciences program
at the Illinois State Water Survey at that time and discussed the major
goals of the radar-related projects. Stan Changnon could not be present.
Each of the special guests was presented letters of acknowledgement from
the national Executive Director of the American Meteorological Society.
President Ed Kieser opened the meeting at 6:45 PM and outlined some
of the major activities of the Chapter. Of particular interest is the Midwest
Conference on Severe and Hazardous Weather, which is being organized by
Vice-President Mike Tannura. While the conference is still months away,
keynote speakers have already been lined up: Dr. Louis Uccellini (Director
of NCEP), Dr. Gregory Forbes (Severe Weather Expert, The Weather Channel),
and Dr. David Robinson (New Jersey State Climatologist). The latest
on the conference can be found at http://www.c-il-ams.org/conf.htm.
Other chapter news included efforts to update the Chapter By-Laws, upcoming
chapter elections, and an essay contest for school-aged children organized
by Dr. Walter Robinson, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University
of Illinois in Urbana-Champaign.
The meeting adjourned around 9:30 PM. David Kristovich
The fourth meeting of the Central Illinois Chapter of the American Meteorological
Society was held at Cheddars Restaurant in Decatur, IL. The meeting began
at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, 12 March, 2003. Our guest speaker was Mr. Ron
Przybylinski, Science and Operations Officer at the National Weather Service
Forecast Office in St. Louis, MO. Mr. Przybylinski spoke about the
upcoming Bow Echo and MCV Experiment (BAMEX) field project.
President Ed Keiser opened the meeting and discussed upcoming meetings
for the chapter, while continuing to appeal for attendees to pay their
dues for 2003. Mike Tannura, Vice President and organizer of the planned
Midwest Conference on Severe and Hazardous Weather, discussed the rapid
progress being made to plan for this regional conference. Several special
invited speakers have accepted our invitation to attend and conference
registration costs are being calculated. Keynote speakers include Dr. Louis
Uccellini (head, NCEP), Dr. Gregory Forbes (The Weather Channel), and Dr.
Robinson (Rutgers University). Dave Kristovich distributed draft
minutes from the January 2003 meeting and Mary Schoen Petersen reported
that there were 37 dues-paying members.
Bow echoes and mesoscale convective vortices are important components
of the severe weather season in the U.S. Midwest. The guest speaker
for the night, Mr. Ron Przybylinski, is an organizer of the field experiment
to collect a comprehensive dataset on these phenomena. Data collected by
stationary and mobile radars, P-3 aircraft, a mobile integrated profiler,
mobile sounding systems and a mobile mesonet will be used to better understand
and ultimately predict these important convective phenomena. The project
is centered at Mid-America Airport near Belleville, IL, from May to June
2003.
The meeting adjourned around 9:15 PM. David Kristovich
The third meeting in a very active year for the Central Illinois Chapter
of the American Meteorological Society was held at Chevyís Restaurant
in Champaign, IL. The meeting began at 6:30 PM on Monday, January 13, 2003.
Our guest speaker was Mr. Michael McClellan, founder of Mobile Weather
Team, Inc. The evening began with guided tours of the Mobile Weather Van,
which serves as the base of operations for many of the Mobile Weather Team
on-site weather forecast support services. The van allows for receipt of
real-time weather data and a location to brief clients on current and predicted
weather conditions.
Mobile Weather Team, Inc. was created in 1991 with only two employees,
Mr. McClellan and his wife. The team has now grown to 13 full-time meteorologists.
While the Mobile Weather Team offers weather support services for a large
number of events, they are particularly well known for their work for major
golf tournaments, including the PGA and LPGA tours. Mr. McClellan discussed
many of the advantages and disadvantages of forecasting for events at a
single location. Forecasting for a single location allows for particularly
detailed predictions that can be greatly improved by knowledge of local
weather peculiarities.
One of the most important weather dangers for golf tournaments is lightning.
Mr. McClellan discussed the current understanding of lightning, particularly
emphasizing issues related to forecasting and lightning dangers. He pointed
out that people will react to rain by running for cover, but will often
be slow to take cover when there is a threat for lightning, despite the
greater danger. He went on to say that the population often forgets that
lightning can occur far from the stormís rain shaft. He and his
Team have had much success on short-term lightning forecasting using a
Thor Guard lightning prediction system.
In other AMS business, updates were given on two important coming events
sponsored by the Central Illinois Chapter. In early April, the Chapter
will sponsor an evening meeting commemorating the 50th anniversary of the
first documented radar observation of a hook echo associated with a tornado.
The Illinois State Water Survey, who will be hosting the evening meeting,
took this historic observation. Finally, on 17-18 October 2003, the Chapter
will host the first Midwest Regional Conference on Severe and Hazardous
Weather. Keynote speakers are being lined up for the conference and advertising
is well underway. The meeting adjourned around 9:30 PM. --- David Kristovich
The Central Illinois Chapter met at The Depot Restaurant in Lincoln,
Illinois on 12 September 2002. The business meeting consisted of elections,
dues, and discussion on a possible conference to be hosted by the chapter.
Dr. David Kristovich presented "Mesoscale Weather Systems Triggered by
the Great Lakes."
Dr. Kristovich briefly outlined some of the major wintertime and summertime
mesoscale storms that occur due to the Great Lakes. He outlined some of
the most common lake-effect snowbands and the environmental conditions
in which they occur. He also discussed data collected during the recent
Lake-Induced Convection Experiment (Lake-ICE), which are giving important
insights into the processes involved in lake-effect storm development.
Finally, Dr. Kristovich presented initial results of a COMET-funded study
of thunderstorm evolution in the vicinity of the Lake Erie lake breeze
front. Two cases were presented; one with storm intensification near the
front and another with storm weakening near the front. This COMET study
is in collaboration with the NWS Office in Cleveland, OH.---Scott Kampas.
|